01-08-2007, 06:05 PM
|
 |
Leo was right
|
|
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Eastern Iowa
Posts: 17,778
|
|
Had two "projects" for today and got this one completed and the other almost done. I am pretty sure osuche will like the results of this one, maybe the other one too. 
I've got a computer program that simulates college football games (not a PS2 videogame or anything like that). It's purely statistically based with the teams rated on their actual performances including strength of schedule, etc.
I created all of the bowl teams for the '06 season and I've played all the bowl games thus far (20 times each) and the program picked the correct winners in 24 of the 31 games. Even got Boise St. over Oklahoma. Anyway, here's what it says will happen tonight. I played the matchup 45 times. Ohio St. won 25 and Florida 20. When the Buckeyes won, they won by an avg. of 10 pts. in high scoring games. When Florida won, they were lower scoring games and the Gators never won by more than 4 points.
Since Ohio St. won the majority of the games, I selected a boxscore that best represented their average win:
Code:
2006 BOWL CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
06 OHIO STATE 14 17 0 7 - 38
06 FLORIDA 7 7 7 7 - 28
06 FLORIDA- 12:02 OF 1ST - 13 PASS BY C.LEAK TO D.BAKER
(KICK BY C.HETLAND)
06 OHIO STATE- 6:40 OF 1ST - 1 RUN BY C.WELLS
(KICK BY A.PETTREY)
06 OHIO STATE- 1:12 OF 1ST - 33 PASS BY T.SMITH TO A.GONZALEZ
(KICK BY A.PETTREY)
06 OHIO STATE- 10:20 OF 2ND - 4 RUN BY A.PITTMAN
(KICK BY A.PETTREY)
06 OHIO STATE- 6:14 OF 2ND - 2 RUN BY T.SMITH
(KICK BY A.PETTREY)
06 FLORIDA- 2:34 OF 2ND - 39 RUN BY A.CALDWELL
(KICK BY C.HETLAND)
06 OHIO STATE- 0:21 OF 2ND - 40 FG BY A.PETTREY
06 FLORIDA- 1:11 OF 3RD - 3 RUN BY D.WYNN
(KICK BY C.HETLAND)
06 FLORIDA- 5:04 OF 4TH - 4 RUN BY K.MOORE
(KICK BY C.HETLAND)
06 OHIO STATE- 2:54 OF 4TH - 34 RUN BY C.WELLS
(KICK BY A.PETTREY)
TEAM STATISTICS
06 OHIO STATE 06 FLORIDA
22 FIRST DOWNS 23
34 - 107 RUSHING YDS 46 - 224
327 PASSING YDS 180
434 TOTAL YDS 404
23 - 32 - 1 PASSES 16 - 31 - 3
3 - 39.4 PUNTS 4 - 43.3
3 - 1 FUM/LOST 0 - 0
1 - 5 PENALTIES 10 - 61
0 - 0 SACKED 3 - 22
27:37 TIME OF POSSESSION 32:23
6 - 13 THIRD DOWN EFF 8 - 15
RUSHING STATISTICS
06 OHIO STATE TC YDS AVG LG TD
A.PITTMAN 10 35 3.5 11 1
C.WELLS 6 46 7.7 34 2
M.WELLS 4 10 2.5 9 0
T.GINN JR 2 1 0.5 0 0
T.SMITH 12 16 1.3 8 1
06 FLORIDA TC YDS AVG LG TD
D.WYNN 13 52 4.0 11 1
K.MOORE 5 30 6.0 8 1
P.HARVIN 2 18 9.0 9 0
A.CALDWELL 2 60 30.0 39 1
J.FAYSON 3 8 2.7 5 0
T.TEBOW 9 50 5.6 9 0
C.LEAK 12 6 0.5 8 0
RECEIVING
06 OHIO STATE TC YDS AVG LG TD
B.ROBISKIE 3 54 18.0 42 0
B.HARTLINE 2 20 10.0 18 0
R.HALL 1 5 5.0 5 0
R.SMALL 1 5 5.0 5 0
A.PITTMAN 2 6 3.0 8 0
T.GINN JR 7 106 15.1 24 0
A.GONZALEZ 6 125 20.8 33 1
J.BALLARD 1 6 6.0 6 0
06 FLORIDA TC YDS AVG LG TD
D.BAKER 5 56 11.2 18 1
C.INGRAM 2 19 9.5 11 0
T.CASEY 1 20 20.0 20 0
D.NELSON 1 12 12.0 12 0
P.HARVIN 1 21 21.0 21 0
A.CALDWELL 3 37 12.3 38 0
J.CORNELIUS 3 15 5.0 9 0
PASSING
06 OHIO STATE ATT COM COM % YDS Y/A Y/C TD TD% I I% LG
T.SMITH 32 23 71.9 327 10.2 14.2 1 3.1 1 3.1 42
06 FLORIDA ATT COM COM % YDS Y/A Y/C TD TD% I I% LG
C.LEAK 27 13 48.1 122 4.5 9.4 1 3.7 3 11.1 21
T.TEBOW 4 3 75.0 58 14.5 19.3 0 0.0 0 0.0 38
KICKOFF RETURNS
06 OHIO STATE KR YDS AVG LG TD
T.GINN JR 4 70 17.5 21 0
06 FLORIDA KR YDS AVG LG TD
B.JAMES 5 81 16.2 20 0
PUNT RETURNS
06 OHIO STATE PR YDS AVG LG TD
T.GINN JR 3 20 6.7 14 0
06 FLORIDA PR YDS AVG LG TD
R.NELSON 1 5 5.0 5 0
PUNTING
06 OHIO STATE PNT AVG LG TB BLK 20
A.J.TRAPASSO 3 39.4 52 0 0 0
06 FLORIDA PNT AVG LG TB BLK 20
E.WILBUR 4 43.3 53 0 0 2
KICKING
06 OHIO STATE EPM EPA EP% FGM FGA FG% LG 0-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50+
A.PETTREY 5 5 100.0 1 1 100.0 40 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 1- 1 0- 0
06 FLORIDA EPM EPA EP% FGM FGA FG% LG 0-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50+
C.HETLAND 4 4 100.0
INTERCEPTIONS
06 OHIO STATE IR YDS AVG LG TD
M.FREEMAN 1 21 21.0 21 0
A.SMITH 1 6 6.0 6 0
J.LAURINAITIS 1 21 21.0 21 0
06 FLORIDA IR YDS AVG LG TD
R.SMITH 1 23 23.0 23 0
SACKS
06 OHIO STATE NO. YDS LOST
Q.PITCOCK 2 15
R.ROSE 1 8
06 FLORIDA NO. YDS LOST
NONE
So there ya go. That's what the computer thinks may happen. Best of luck to Lilith, Osuche and all the other Gator and Buckeye fans here at Pixies.
__________________
It takes a gutless mouse to play only when the cat's away.
No love, no friendship, can cross the path of our destiny without leaving some mark on it forever. ~~ Francois Mocuriac
Confucius say, "He who masturbate into cash register come into money."
An optimist looks at the glass and says it's half full. A pessimist looks at the glass and says it's half empty. A Cubs fan looks at the glass and says, "When's it gonna spill?"
Deus Impetitio Esuritori Nullus
|